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Update 908: Significant Off-Year Democratic Gains

Update 908 — Tuesday is Blues’ Day:Significant Off-Year Democratic Gains Democrats saw resounding electoral success Tuesday night, with the opportunity to respond to the horrors of Trump 2.0 driving Democrats to the polls. Whether this blue wave will be predictive of 2026 is to be seen, but Democrats exceeded expectations. The government shutdown also continued …

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Update 906: Chinese Trade Detente

Update 906 — Chinese Trade Detente,Shutdown Rolling to Record Lead Week President Trump returned from Asia touting major success when, in fact, details of finalized plans are few and far between. With China, we are nearly back where we were before, after months of pain for American businesses and farmers who are paying the price …

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Update 904: September CPI up to 3%

Update 904 — September CPI up to 3%;Roadmarks ahead for Ongoing Shutdown This morning saw the release of new data showing that prices rose 3.0 percent on an annualized basis in September — the highest level since January. The price increase and the steady increases in recent months are the by-product of the Trump administration’s …

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Update 889: OBBB – Impact, Polling, Messaging

Update 889 – OBBB Policy and Politics:Bill’s Impact, Polling, Recess Messaging President Trump signed the One Big “Beautiful” Bill Act (OBBB) into law on July 4, solidifying much of his economic policy agenda for his second term. The massive package, which was passed through the partisan reconciliation process with no Democratic support, includes tax cuts …

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Update 876: GOP Struggles to Meet Trump Deadline

Update 876 – Reconciliation vs. Clock:GOP Struggles to Meet Trump Deadline Hill Republicans are currently racing to pass a massive reconciliation bill – coined the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (OBBB) – comprising much of Trump’s economic agenda for his second term. The problem? Trump’s relentless pressure to get the measure to his desk by …

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Update 875: Senate’s OBBB Obstacle Course

Update 875 – OBBB Senate Obstacles,Fed Freeze, Genius Act Vote Lead Week With the Senate Finance Committee’s text for the GOP One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) released this week, we now have a full picture of the Senate’s approach to reconciliation. Though expected to be a more moderate version of the House bill that passed …

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Update 872: The Trump-Musk Meltdown

Update 872– The Trump-Musk Meltdown:Elon Attacks OBBB… But to Any Effect? Yesterday, President Trump and Elon Musk’s disagreement over the projected deficit impact of Trump’s reconciliation package erupted into public view on social media. While the dust seems to have settled somewhat as of today, this split raises questions about Musk’s political influence going forward. …

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Update 870: House OKs Trump OBBB

Update 870 – House OKs Trump OBBB:On to the Senate for Tweak or Overhaul? The House passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBB) yesterday in a 215-214 vote after a week of seemingly fraught negotiations. The bill, which consists of trillions of dollars in tax cuts that are skewed towards the ultra-wealthy and paid …

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Update 867: House Marathon Mark-ups

Update 867 – House Marathon Mark-ups:Reconciliation Tax, Spending Cuts OK’ed This week, the House Ways and Means, Energy and Commerce, and Agriculture Committees approved their portions of the GOP’s reconciliation bill following grueling, multiday markups. The harmful committee proposals pair $3.8 trillion in net tax cuts over ten years – a fourth of which would …

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