One Big Beautiful Bill

Update 895: Sliding toward Shutdown

Update 895 – Sliding toward ShutdownFY26 Status Leads Week’s Round-Up With only 10 days left for Congress to approve and Trump to sign a Fiscal Year 2026 (FY26) budget to avoid a shutdown, the House voted today to advance a Republican CR proposal that would fund the government through November 21. But the Senate quickly …

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Update 893: Macro Muddle Confronts Fed

Update 893 – Macro Muddle Faces Fed; Democrats’ Shutdown Strategy Emerges The nation’s macroeconomic picture got murkier this week, with CPI showing August prices rising by the most since January, even as jobless claims jumped by the most in four years this week and unemployment edged up last month — “a curious kind of balance,” …

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Update 890: Fed Independence Cooked?

Update 890 – Fed Independence Cooked?Landmark Suit vs. Trump Firing Launched President Trump attempted to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook on Monday after his administration accused her of fraud – a crime she has not been charged with or convicted of. Cook has refused to step down and challenged her attempted “for cause” removal …

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Update 889: OBBB – Impact, Polling, Messaging

Update 889 – OBBB Policy and Politics:Bill’s Impact, Polling, Recess Messaging President Trump signed the One Big “Beautiful” Bill Act (OBBB) into law on July 4, solidifying much of his economic policy agenda for his second term. The massive package, which was passed through the partisan reconciliation process with no Democratic support, includes tax cuts …

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Update 878: GOP Mods, Hawks Chicken Out on OBBB

Update 878 – OBBB’s Parable of the Cave: GOP Moderates, Hawks Chicken Out on Bill Moments ago, the House passed Trump’s signature domestic economic legislation, the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” sending it to Trump’s desk in time for July 4. Trump achieves much of his domestic policy agenda, with his TCJA tax cuts extended, …

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Update 877: Rulings and OBBB Process

Update 877 – Rulings and OBBB Process,Mamdani Win, Prices, Entitlement Reports The Senate parliamentarian continued her review of the GOP’s reconciliation bill (OBBB) this week, shooting down Medicaid cuts crucial to the fiscal balance of the bill. This straw may have broken the camel’s back, as calls to overrule or dismiss the Senate’s referee following …

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Update 876: GOP Struggles to Meet Trump Deadline

Update 876 – Reconciliation vs. Clock:GOP Struggles to Meet Trump Deadline Hill Republicans are currently racing to pass a massive reconciliation bill – coined the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (OBBB) – comprising much of Trump’s economic agenda for his second term. The problem? Trump’s relentless pressure to get the measure to his desk by …

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Update 875: Senate’s OBBB Obstacle Course

Update 875 – OBBB Senate Obstacles,Fed Freeze, Genius Act Vote Lead Week With the Senate Finance Committee’s text for the GOP One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) released this week, we now have a full picture of the Senate’s approach to reconciliation. Though expected to be a more moderate version of the House bill that passed …

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Update 872: The Trump-Musk Meltdown

Update 872– The Trump-Musk Meltdown:Elon Attacks OBBB… But to Any Effect? Yesterday, President Trump and Elon Musk’s disagreement over the projected deficit impact of Trump’s reconciliation package erupted into public view on social media. While the dust seems to have settled somewhat as of today, this split raises questions about Musk’s political influence going forward. …

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Update 870: House OKs Trump OBBB

Update 870 – House OKs Trump OBBB:On to the Senate for Tweak or Overhaul? The House passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBB) yesterday in a 215-214 vote after a week of seemingly fraught negotiations. The bill, which consists of trillions of dollars in tax cuts that are skewed towards the ultra-wealthy and paid …

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