FY26

Update 899: Shutdown in Stalemate

Update 899 — Shutdown in Stalemate;Trump Resorts to Partisan Scare Tactics The government funding stalemate for the fiscal year starting October 1 resulted in a shutdown this week with no end in sight. Meanwhile, the Trump administration took a partisan turn, canceling infrastructure funding in blue cities/states and using agency web pages and email autoreplies …

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Update 898: Govt Stuck in Shutdown

Update 898 – Govt Stuck in Shutdown:Drill Down on Off-Ramps and Impact At 12:01 a.m. this morning, the federal government was thrust into a shutdown, as Congress failed to pass short-term funding that would keep the government running past yesterday’s expiration of fiscal year 2025. Democrats and Republicans are split over proposals for a short-term …

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Update 897: Trump’s Shutdown Threat

Update 897 – Trump’s Shutdown Threat:Mass Gov’t Firings without Budget Deal Congressional leaders remained at an impasse this week on federal government funding beyond October 1, leaving four days until a government shutdown kicks in, absent an agreement. Democrats want healthcare concessions in exchange for their votes – seven of which are necessary to reach …

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Update 895: Sliding toward Shutdown

Update 895 – Sliding toward ShutdownFY26 Status Leads Week’s Round-Up With only 10 days left for Congress to approve and Trump to sign a Fiscal Year 2026 (FY26) budget to avoid a shutdown, the House voted today to advance a Republican CR proposal that would fund the government through November 21. But the Senate quickly …

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Update 893: Macro Muddle Confronts Fed

Update 893 – Macro Muddle Faces Fed; Democrats’ Shutdown Strategy Emerges The nation’s macroeconomic picture got murkier this week, with CPI showing August prices rising by the most since January, even as jobless claims jumped by the most in four years this week and unemployment edged up last month — “a curious kind of balance,” …

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Update 891: Aug. Job Gains’ Slowdown

Update 891 – Aug. Job Gains’ Slowdown;SBC Miran Fed Hearing Raises Concerns The August jobs report released this morning showed a much lower-than-expected 22,000 jobs added to the economy last month and a net 13,000 job loss in June, with Trump’s tariffs noticeably softening the labor market. The soft jobs data comes as the Trump …

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Update 882: Rescissions Package Sets Precedent

Update 882 – Fiscal Fingers Crossed?Rescissions Package Sets Precedent For the first time in over 30 years, Congress has acted on a presidential rescissions request under the Impoundment Control Act to cancel funding that was previously approved in bipartisan appropriations bills. Beyond funding cuts, this move sets a precedent for undoing negotiated agreements by simple …

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Update 880: Rescissions Cloud Looms over FY26

Update 880 – Recissions’ Impact on FY26, Gould’s OK for OCC Lead Week’s Round-Up Senate Republicans this week debated Trump’s $9.4 billion rescissions package targeting funding for international aid and public broadcasting, which faces a July 18 deadline for a simple majority vote. While the package is small, its passage could cloud negotiations on FY26 …

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Update 874: Round-Up on Trade, Prices, Recissions

Update 874 – Tariff Rate Date MoveMay CPI, Rescissions Bill Lead Week On Tuesday, President Trump announced that the United States had completed a framework for a trade deal with China, calling for both countries to loosen export controls and bring tariff rates back down to levels agreed to in the Geneva “truce.” The next …

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Update 864: GDP Contracts by 0.3%

Update 864 – GDP Contracts by 0.3%;Trump Skins FY26 Domestic Spending Three key pieces of economic data were released this week. The Fed’s preferred measure of inflation ticked down to 2.3 percent in March, nearing the Fed’s two percent target, while a strong 177,000 jobs were added to the economy and unemployment remained unchanged at …

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