Women Big Winners in PA (May 16)

Update 271 – Women Big Winners in PA
Voters Focused on Health Costs, not Tax Cuts

Democrats in Pennsylvania came away from yesterday’s primary elections confident of gaining at least five U.S. House seats in November.  That would move the Commonwealth’s delegation from a GOP 13-5 advantage into a 10-8 Democratic majority. The delegation will likely include four women, up from none currently.

Below we drill down into the flippable races in PA and the other states voting yesterday — Idaho, Nebraska, and Oregon with a view to economic policy issues and candidates to watch in the general.




PA-17: Rep. Lamb (D) v. Rep. Rothfus (R)

• 2016 Pres. Election: Trump 49/Clinton 47
• 2012 Pres. Election: Romney 52/Obama 47
• 2016 House: *District Lines Changed
• Cook PVI: R+3

Yesterday, the newly-created PA-17 held uncontested primaries to set up a general election race between Rep. Connor Lamb and Rep. Keith Rothfus.  The result of Pennsylvania’s recently redrawn district lines, this clash of incumbents gives Democrats a realistic opportunity to add a pickup.

While the race is technically “lean Republican,” Rep. Lamb lines up well against Rep. Rothfus. Relative to the R+11 Cook PVI that Lamb overcame in his March PA-18 victory, PA-17’s R+3 rating will feel like friendly territory, especially given Lamb’s opposition to the conservative Rothfus, a three-term Trump Republican from PA-12 who is expected to struggle in the more moderate district.  Lamb will use a pragmatic approach similar to his last campaign, focusing on infrastructure spending, job training, protecting medicare and social security, and strengthening unions.

PA-07: Wild (D) v. Nothstein (R)

• 2016 Pres. Election: Clinton 57/Trump 38
• 2012 Pres. Election: Obama 56/Romney 42
• 2016 House: *District Lines Changed
• Cook PVI: D+7

With 33 percent of the vote, Allentown attorney Susan Wild won the Democratic Primary in the Lehigh Valley, where the moderate Republican Rep. Dent is retiring.  She defeated an anti-immigrant, anti-choice, Trump sympathizer John Morganelli, the district attorney of Northampton County. Wild’s campaign is centered around protecting medicare and social security, strengthening union bargaining power, and investing in job training programs.  She also advocates for the defense of the Earned Income Tax Credit and promotes investing in rural infrastructure development.

Her win signifies a victory over the old guard where conservative Democrats are still active. Backed by Emily’s List, Wild would be the first woman to represent the Lehigh Valley in Congress.  Her opponent in November will be former Olympian Marty Nothstein, who narrowly won his nomination on a conventional GOP platform of border security, repealing obamacare, and protecting gun rights.  The general election will be hotly contested in this purple district, a bellwether for an impending progressive wave.


PA-01: Wallace (D) v. Rep. Fitzpatrick (R)

• 2016 Pres. Election: Trump 49/Clinton 47
• 2012 Pres. Election: Romney 50/Obama 48
• 2016 House: *District Lines Changed
• Cook PVI: R+1

Scott Wallace, a philanthropist, public interest lawyer, and one-time capitol hill staffer, will face incumbent Republican Rep. Fitzpatrick in PA-01.  He is a descendant of Henry Wallace, an architect of Social Security as FDR’s trusted cabinet member and Vice President. Scott Wallace is campaigning to strengthen the program his grandfather designed, and is also promoting a serious agenda to revitalize the nation’s community colleges and vocational programs.

Unseating a Republican incumbent in Bucks county will not be easy, but this is the year to do it.  Wallace has substantial campaign funds and runs in a district that went blue from 2007 to 2011.


PA-06: Houlihan (D) v. McCauley (R)

• 2016 Pres. Election: Clinton 52/Trump 43
• 2012 Pres. Election: Romney 51/Obama 48
• 2016 House: *District Lines Changed
• Cook PVI: D+2

Chrissy Houlihan, an Air Force veteran with business experience as the COO of a popular footwear and apparel company, will face off against a little-known Republican attorney in a new district whose precincts heavily favored Clinton against Trump in 2016.  While the district is close on the Cook PVI scale, most expect it to go the Democrats’ way in a wave year. Houlihan is campaigning on giving workers a living wage, increasing worker bargaining power, and closing the gender pay gap.


PA-04: Dean (D) v. David (R)

• 2016 Pres. Election: Clinton 57/Trump 38
• 2012 Pres. Election: Obama 56/Romney 42
• 2016 House: *District Lines Changed
• Cook PVI: D+7

State Rep. Madeleine Dean defeated both her primary opponents convincingly to take the Democratic nomination in this brand new, “lean D” district.  Dean would be one of several women to take office in a state that is currently the largest to send an all-male delegation to the US House. Dean is campaigning on infrastructure modernization, increasing the bargaining power of organized labor, and repairing the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act to increase support for low and middle-income workers and increase taxes on the richest.


PA-05: Scanlon (D) v. Kim (R)

• 2016 Pres. Election: Clinton 62/Trump 34
• 2012 Pres. Election: Obama 63/Romney 35
• 2016 House: *District Lines Changed
• Cook PVI: D+13

Attorney Mary Gay Scanlon emerged from a field of ten Democratic candidates to easily win the nomination.  A nonprofit lawyer, Scanlon is poised to flip this redistricted seat in the Delaware County suburbs just southwest of Philadelphia.  Scanlon is likely to turn to education reform when approaching long term solutions to economic issues. She has particularly emphasized student loan reform and debt relief and making community college and public university attendance free for families earning less than $150,000.

NE-02: Eastman (D) v. Bacon (R)

• 2016 Pres. Election: Trump 48/Clinton 46
• 2012 Pres. Election: Romney 53/Obama 46
• 2016 House: Bacon (R) 49/Ashford (D) 48
• Cook PVI: R+2

One of the biggest upsets of the primary season thus far came out of the Cornhusker State as Kara Eastman, an Omaha nonprofit president, beat out former Rep. Brad Ashford.  In a near three point victory, NE-02 Democrats narrowly nominated Eastman to take on incumbent Rep. Don Bacon, a Trumpian Republican who has voted with the president 97 percent of the time.  Although many saw Ashford as the more viable candidate, don’t count Eastman out in the general election, NE-02 is still amongst the most flippable districts this cycle and is a key district to win if Democrats hope to take back the house.

Eastman advocates Medicare-for-all as her main policy platform, but also relies on strong progressive economic policy ideas.  She supports raising the minimum wage, tax reform that raise taxes on the wealthy and corporations, and raising the taxable maximum on social security.
All’s Quiet on the Western Front:

Two western states – Idaho and Oregon – also held primary contests yesterday.  In Oregon, all five incumbents won their primaries easily and are expected to cruise to victory in the general election.  In Idaho’s first district, Christina McNeil will face off against Russ Fulcher in a seat that former Rep. Raúl Labrador vacated to (unsuccessfully) run for governor.  In ID-02, incumbent Rep. Mike Simpson will face Democrat Aaron Swisher.  As in Oregon, neither race is expected to be competitive.

42 thoughts on “Women Big Winners in PA (May 16)”

  1. My partner and I absolutely love your blog and find a lot of
    your post’s to be precisely what I’m looking for.
    Would you offer guest writers to write content to suit your needs?
    I wouldn’t mind creating a post or elaborating on a few
    of the subjects you write regarding here. Again, awesome
    blog! 0mniartist asmr

  2. My partner and I absolutely love your blog and find almost all of your post’s to be exactly I’m looking for.
    can you offer guest writers to write content for you? I wouldn’t mind publishing
    a post or elaborating on some of the subjects you write regarding here.
    Again, awesome website! 0mniartist asmr

  3. Wow, amazing weblog layout! How lengthy have you ever been blogging for?
    you made running a blog look easy. The overall look of your web site is wonderful, let alone the content material!

    asmr 0mniartist

  4. I’ve been browsing on-line greater than 3 hours
    nowadays, yet I by no means found any attention-grabbing article like yours.
    It’s beautiful price sufficient for me. In my opinion, if all web owners and bloggers made excellent content material as you did,
    the web might be a lot more useful than ever before.

  5. Magnificent beat ! I would like to apprentice even as you amend your web site, how can i
    subscribe for a weblog web site? The account aided me a applicable deal.
    I were tiny bit familiar of this your broadcast offered shiny transparent idea

  6. We are a bunch of volunteers and opening a brand new scheme in our community.
    Your web site provided us with helpful information to work on. You have performed
    an impressive activity and our whole neighborhood will
    probably be thankful to you.

  7. Great blog here! Also your web site loads up fast!

    What host are you using? Can I get your affiliate link to your host?
    I wish my website loaded up as quickly as yours lol

  8. If you want to grow your experience simply keep visiting this web page and be updated with the hottest gossip posted

  9. Hello There. I found your weblog using msn. That is an extremely smartly written article.

    I will make sure to bookmark it and come back to read more of your
    useful information. Thanks for the post. I will definitely comeback.

  10. scoliosis
    I know this if off topic but I’m looking into starting my own blog and was wondering what all is needed to get setup?
    I’m assuming having a blog like yours would cost a pretty penny?
    I’m not very web smart so I’m not 100% certain. Any tips or advice would be greatly
    appreciated. Thanks scoliosis

  11. scoliosis
    Piece of writing writing is also a fun, if you be acquainted with afterward you can write if not it
    is difficult to write. scoliosis

  12. scoliosis
    Hello colleagues, how is everything, and
    what you wish for to say regarding this post, in my view its truly awesome in favor of me.

  13. Fantastic goods from you, man. I have understand your
    stuff previous to and you are just extremely wonderful. I actually like what you’ve acquired
    here, certainly like what you are stating and the way in which you say it.

    You make it enjoyable and you still care for to keep it sensible.

    I can not wait to read far more from you. This is really a tremendous website.

  14. I’m extremely inspired together with your writing skills as neatly as with the layout for your blog.
    Is this a paid topic or did you modify it your self? Anyway
    keep up the nice high quality writing, it’s uncommon to peer a nice blog like this one nowadays..

  15. Aw, this was an extremely nice post. Taking the time and actual effort to
    generate a very good article… but what can I
    say… I hesitate a lot and never manage to get anything done.

  16. Aw, this was a very good post. Spending some time and actual effort to create
    a very good article… but what can I say… I procrastinate a whole lot
    and never manage to get anything done.

  17. I have to thank you for the efforts you’ve put in penning this blog.
    I really hope to check out the same high-grade blog posts
    from you in the future as well. In truth, your creative writing abilities has inspired me to get my own, personal website now

  18. It’s the best time to make some plans for the longer term and it’s
    time to be happy. I have learn this publish and if I
    may I want to suggest you some fascinating issues or tips.
    Perhaps you can write next articles referring to this article.

    I wish to read even more issues approximately it!

  19. Hello, I think your website might be having browser compatibility issues.

    When I look at your blog site in Chrome, it looks fine but when opening in Internet Explorer, it has some overlapping.

    I just wanted to give you a quick heads up!
    Other then that, awesome blog!

  20. When I originally commented I clicked the “Notify me when new comments are added” checkbox and now each time a comment is added I get several
    emails with the same comment. Is there any way you can remove me from that service?

    Many thanks!

  21. Pingback: can you drink diet soda on keto

  22. Pretty part of content. I just stumbled upon your weblog and in accession capital to claim that I get actually loved account
    your blog posts. Anyway I’ll be subscribing to your feeds or even I success you get
    admission to constantly rapidly.

  23. Hi there just wanted to give you a quick heads up
    and let you know a few of the images aren’t loading correctly.
    I’m not sure why but I think its a linking issue.
    I’ve tried it in two different browsers and both show the
    same outcome.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *