Last night, the House passed a stopgap spending bill to fund the government through February 16 on a near-party line vote, 230-197. In exchange for extending CHIP funding until October 1, 2023, the measure delays the implementation of the Cadillac tax, the medical device tax, and excise taxes on health insurers. It is devoid of DACA.
GOP leadership hopes that the six years of CHIP funding will force Senate Democrats into a choice between children’s health insurance and relief for DACA recipients. Few Democrats have broken ranks. Six Democrats voted for the House bill, and Senate Democrats are prepared to hold the line to protect the nation’s 700,000 DACA recipients. The Senate vote on final passage will be whisker thin either way.
With five hours until government shutdown, state of play and likely outcomes discussed below.
Good weekends to all and hope no one gets furloughed.
Best,
Dana
———————————
Eyes on the Senate
The House continuing resolution (CR) now makes its way to the Senate where its chances of survival are looking increasingly slim. Leadership in both parties is busy counting votes. Passage of this CR will depend on the ability of leadership to enforce party discipline.
Republican Missteps
So far, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has lost three vital Republican votes. Sens. Graham and Paul have said they will vote against the bill because of the effect that the continual can-kicking has on the deficit and military. Sen. Flake has decided to vote against it in favor of the Democrats shorter term version.
Republicans need 60 votes to pass the spending bill, but with Sen.McCain out receiving chemotherapy, McConnell does have the votes needed for passage, even if Democrats allowed for cloture. Sen. Lee has expressed reservations about a CR and might well join the ranks of Republican dissenters. With the math increasingly against him, McConnell faces a choice between a shutdown or another embarrassing floor loss.
Democrats’ Gains and Endgame
Republican leadership was always going to need Democratic help to pass the CR, but all indications are that the caucus is prepared to hold the line and withhold their votes in order to force Republicans into a deal to provide DACA relief and permanent CHIP funding. Republican efforts with the House bill have focused on peeling off a number of the eight Senate Democrats who are up for reelection this year in states that Trump won in 2016. Thus far, these efforts appear futile as Democrats are prepared to hold ranks to vote down the CR.
Sen. Tester has come out against the CR. That means that 11 of the 18 Democrats who voted for the December CR have already come out against the House bill. More Democrats are sure to be close behind them.
The two Democrats who have signaled support for the CR are Senators Joe Donnelly and Joe Manchin. Manchin’s enthusiasm appears to be waning after he expressed skepticism of Republican leadership’s efforts, alongside the President’s, to blame Democrats for a shutdown, stating “Mitch controls the agenda — he’s in the majority, so if Mitch thinks he’s going to walk from this, I don’t think that’s ever going to happen.”
Democratic Leader Schumer has proposed a shorter term extension of a few days, which has bipartisan support. The extension would fund the government into next week and would allow Senators to continue debate. Republican leaders have yet to blink, but time is running out for McConnell. Even with a unified caucus he would be unable to overcome a Democratic filibuster. At the end of the day he will need Democratic votes to avoid a shutdown that a majority of the country will blame him for– and getting Democratic votes will require DACA relief.
Trump’s Take
Government shutdowns do not bode well for the popularity of the party in power. This time is no different: a Washington Post poll suggests that 48 percent would hold Trump and Congressional Republicans responsible, while just 28 percent would fault Democrats. Speaker Ryan and Sen. McConnell grasp this, but the White House may not, perhaps calculating that Trump’s popularity cannot sink below present levels. The GOP is ready to blame a shutdown on Democrats. Democrats are ready to clobber Republicans who seem prepared to “lock out” millions of federal workers and out citizens from essential services.
Sen.McConnell indicated he wants a package that the President will support, but President Trump’s conflicting signals make it unclear what this means. On DACA, he reversed his initial support for a bipartisan deal to protect 700,000 immigrants from deportation. On CHIP, the President chided House Republicans via twitter for including CHIP in their spending package, throwing a wrench in the works of bipartisan deal making.
After Trump’s tweet that CHIP should not be part of the 30 day extension, Republican House leaders scrambled to save the CR. Then, shortly after the President met with Speaker Ryan, the White House said the President supported the House stop-gap measure. Trump will likely sign any deal that arrives on his desk, but the logjam in the Senate may prevent him from seeing anything before the government runs out of money at midnight.
No Deal in Sight Tonight
Sen. Schumer left his White House meeting with Trump today, a mere eight hours before the shutdown deadline, and stated no deal had been reached. The talks revolved mostly around DACA. Schumer reported that while the talks were productive, the two sides were still a long ways away, as they “still have a good number of disagreements”. Trump was reported to have told Schumer to work it out between himself, McConnell and Ryan. While the talks were “productive,” it seems that there will be no deal tonight between the parties. More Monday. |
https://vskamagrav.com/ – buy kamagra uk with mastercard
Useful info. Fortunate me I found your site by accident, and I’m surprised why this twist of fate didn’t came about earlier!
I bookmarked it. asmr 0mniartist
I like the valuable information you provide in your articles.
I’ll bookmark your weblog and check again here regularly.
I am quite certain I will learn a lot of new stuff
right here! Best of luck for the next! 0mniartist asmr
Helpful information. Fortunate me I found your web site by accident, and I’m surprised why this twist of fate did not came about earlier!
I bookmarked it. asmr 0mniartist
Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as though you relied on the video
to make your point. You clearly know what youre talking about, why throw away your intelligence on just posting
videos to your blog when you could be giving us something informative to read?
asmr 0mniartist
Very good article. I am going through many of these issues as well..
0mniartist asmr
dating online
chat websites to meet people
Hi every one, here every person is sharing such experience, thus it’s good to read this blog,
and I used to visit this website all the time.
Yes! Finally someone writes about 918kaya.
Check out my site test 918kaya
You ought to take part in a contest for one of the finest sites on the
net. I am going to recommend this site!
Also visit my web page :: wm casino game list
You should be a part of a contest for one of the most useful websites on the internet.
I’m going to highly recommend this blog!
Feel free to surf to my web page; xe88 apk for android
A motivating discussion is worth comment. There’s no doubt that that you need to write more on this subject, it might not be a taboo matter but typically people don’t talk about such subjects.
To the next! Many thanks!!
My site: download aaa1188 android
What’s up, the whole thing is going sound here and ofcourse every one is sharing data,
that’s in fact fine, keep up writing.
My web-site: agen sky1388 (918kiss-m.com)
What i don’t understood is in fact how you’re not actually a lot more well-liked
than you might be right now. You are very intelligent.
You understand thus considerably with regards to this topic, produced me in my opinion believe it
from a lot of various angles. Its like men and women aren’t
interested until it’s one thing to accomplish with Girl gaga!
Your personal stuffs outstanding. Always take care of it up!
Here is my web-site: epicwin trusted company
This is my first time pay a visit at here and i am in fact pleassant to read everthing at one place.
Feel free to visit my web site … id akaun test calibet
Somebody essentially lend a hand to make critically articles I might state.
That is the very first time I frequented your website page
and up to now? I surprised with the analysis you made to create this particular publish incredible.
Wonderful process!
Feel free to surf to my site; joker 123 (https://918kiss-m.com/blog/how-does-casino-bonus-work)
Incredible story there. What happened after?
Good luck!
Stop by my blog post :: mega688
Saya telah telah berselancar online lebih dari
4 jam hari ini, namun saya tidak pernah menemukan artikel menarik seperti milik Anda.
It’s cukup berharga bagi saya. Menurut pendapat saya ,
jika semua pemilik web dan blogger membuat konten yang baik seperti
yang Anda lakukan, web akan menjadi a jauh lebih berguna dari
sebelumnya.
Visit my web blog Joker888 e2 80 8bth
I’ve been browsing online more than 3 hours as of late, yet I never found any fascinating article like
yours. It’s lovely value enough for me. In my view,
if all website owners and bloggers made good content material as you probably did,
the web will probably be much more useful than ever before.
If you desire to grow your know-how just keep visiting this website
and be updated with the hottest news update posted here.
What’s up Dear, are you in fact visiting this website regularly, if so
after that you will without doubt obtain pleasant knowledge.
Hi there, this weekend is nice for me, for the
reason that this point in time i am reading this wonderful educational article here
at my house.
tinder sign up , tinder login
tindr
Hello this is kinda of off topic but I was wondering if
blogs use WYSIWYG editors or if you have to manually code with HTML.
I’m starting a blog soon but have no coding expertise so
I wanted to get advice from someone with experience.
Any help would be greatly appreciated!
Terrific post but I was wanting to know if you could write a litte more on this topic?
I’d be very grateful if you could elaborate a little bit more.
Kudos!
Wonderful blog! I found it while surfing around on Yahoo
News. Do you have any suggestions on how to get listed in Yahoo News?
I’ve been trying for a while but I never seem to get there!
Thanks
Hi there! I’m at work surfing around your blog from my new iphone!
Just wanted to say I love reading through your blog and look forward
to all your posts! Carry on the great work!
I love it whenever people get together and share ideas.
Great website, stick with it!
tinder online , tindr
tinder app
tinder dating app , browse tinder for free
http://tinderentrar.com/
scoliosis
Howdy! I know this is kinda off topic but I’d figured I’d ask.
Would you be interested in exchanging links or maybe guest writing a blog post or vice-versa?
My website goes over a lot of the same topics as yours and
I feel we could greatly benefit from each other.
If you might be interested feel free to send me an e-mail.
I look forward to hearing from you! Excellent blog by the way!
scoliosis
scoliosis
Good replies in return of this issue with real arguments and explaining everything
about that. scoliosis
Wonderful site you have here but I was wanting to know if
you knew of any message boards that cover the same topics
talked about here? I’d really love to be a part
of community where I can get opinions from other
experienced people that share the same interest.
If you have any suggestions, please let me know. Kudos!
My blog post 1 aaa1188
This is very fascinating, You are an overly skilled blogger.
I have joined your rss feed and look ahead to in the hunt for extra of your magnificent
post. Additionally, I have shared your web site in my social
networks
My blog … 918kiss 2 download [https://918kiss-m.com/]
free dating sites
I’m impressed, I must say. Seldom do I encounter a blog that’s
both educative and amusing, and without a doubt, you have hit the nail
on the head. The issue is something not enough folks are speaking intelligently about.
Now i’m very happy I came across this in my search for something relating to this.
free dating sites
dating sites
Hi, I check your new stuff regularly. Your writing style is witty, keep up the good work!
https://785days.tumblr.com/ free dating sites
Hey very interesting blog!
What’s up, the whole thing is going fine here and ofcourse every one is sharing facts, that’s genuinely fine, keep up writing.
When someone writes an post he/she retains the idea of a user in his/her mind that how a user can be aware of it.
Thus that’s why this post is amazing. Thanks!
Hi there, this weekend is fastidious in favor of me, since this point
in time i am reading this enormous informative article here at
my house.
I could not resist commenting. Exceptionally
well written!
Hi, i feel that i saw you visited my site so i got here to return the choose?.I am trying to in finding things to enhance my web site!I
suppose its adequate to make use of a few of your ideas!!
Wow, this paragraph is good, my younger sister is analyzing these things, thus I am going to tell her.
Do you mind if I quote a few of your articles as long as I provide credit and sources back to your website?
My website is in the exact same niche as yours and
my visitors would definitely benefit from some of the information you
present here. Please let me know if this okay with you.
Thank you!
This piece of writing offers clear idea for
the new viewers of blogging, that genuinely how to do blogging
and site-building.
Saved as a favorite, I like your website!
That is a good tip especially to those fresh to the blogosphere.
Simple but very precise info… Thanks for sharing this one.
A must read post!
Thanks so much for the post.Really thank you! Much obliged.
I every time spent my half an hour to read this blog’s articles or reviews every day along with a mug of coffee.
free single chat
dating a team magma grunt
Pingback: easy keto diet plan
gay dads dating
young gay dating site
hilarious gay online dating
Link exchange is nothing else however it is only placing the
other person’s blog link on your page at appropriate place and
other person will also do similar in favor of you.
I’m gone to say to my little brother, that he should also go to
see this weblog on regular basis to get updated from latest information.
free gamer dating gay
meetup.com gay men dating
gay old bears dating young
gay teens dating adults
free gay dating sites in europe
gay dating memphis tn