Biden Policy Possibilities

Update 487 — Biden Policy Possibilities 
Following Fraud-Free but Fraught Election 

The 2020 election is over, likely to reach the highest voter participation rate since the election of 1900. Over 160 million Americans got to the voting booth, or the mailbox, to cast their ballots. Fears of violence proved as founded as those of the voter fraud: neither occurred. After a tense four-day wait, major news outlets finally called the presidential election for Vice President Biden last Saturday. 

The mandate is mixed as the votes will likely yield a divided government, as has every vote since 2008, obscuring the probability that this was another change election. Yet even with a muted mandate, a Biden White House can do much to advance a progressive agenda. Below, we analyze 2020’s massive electoral turnout, the results of the federal races, and the policy implications for the next Congress and President. 

Also, 20/20 Vision is hiring an Economic Policy Analyst. Click here to view the full job posting. 

Best,

Dana

———————————————

Democracy and Turnout

With millions more ballots still to be counted, the voter participation rate is already over 62 percent, the highest since 1968. The United States Elections Project estimates that turnout may ultimately surpass 66 percent.

This year’s outstanding turnout is thanks to an almost universal expansion of the right to vote. In response to the difficulties the coronavirus pandemic posed to in-person voting, some states that did not already have universal mail-in voting broadened no-excuse absentee voting while others sent mail-in ballots or mail-in ballot applications to every eligible voter. Montana authorized its counties to conduct all-mail elections, and turnout rose by 10 percentage points. In Texas, which didn’t expand absentee voting but did extend the time period for early voting, turnout jumped nine percentage points from 50 percent in 2016 to over 59 percent.

Turnout in all-mail states was high even for demographic groups less likely to vote. In Colorado, Nevada, and Oregon, youth and non-white turnout rose compared to 2016. Once all ballots are counted, youth turnout is projected to be between 50 and 52 percent, up 4-6 percentage points from 2016. Young voters were crucial to Biden’s wins in Michigan and Pennsylvania and his leads in Georgia and Arizona where young voters broke for Biden by at least 18 points. The Democratic gains were highest for young black, Asian, and Latino voters, of whom 87 percent, 81 percent, and 73 percent broke for Biden, respectively. 

But turnout wasn’t just a boon for Biden. With Trump at the top of the ticket, Republicans also showed up to vote at record rates. Because of Republican success in getting out the vote, Democrats did not flip any state legislatures, clearing the way for Republican-controlled state governments to gerrymander their congressional districts following the 2020 Census. 

Election Results

Most of the November 2020 election results are now in. Democrats have retaken the White House and made moderate gains in the Senate so far but suffered several losses in House races in swing districts. 

  • Presidential (Biden 279 EVs – Trump 217 EVs)

In a decisive win for Biden, America, and democracy, President Trump has been fired by the American people. President-Elect Biden’s popular vote lead is now over five million, with several blue states still counting votes. Biden is set to have the highest margin since 2008 and the highest percentage for a challenger since FDR in 1932. Biden has already earned more votes (76.2 million and counting) than any other candidate in U.S. history, surpassing Obama’s previous record of 69.5 million in 2008. 

  • Senate (48 D – 50 R)

Contrary to Democrats’ hopes, Republicans were fairly successful Tuesday, holding on to precarious seats by larger margins than expected. Three Senate races remain undecided. The North Carolina race between incumbent Sen. Thom Tillis and Cal Cunningham is still too close to call with 97 percent of votes reported and Tillis leading by 1.7 points. While Cunningham conceded the race on Tuesday, major news outlets have yet to call it. Meanwhile, both Georgia Senate races are going to runoffs in January. Should Sen. Tillis win his race, Democrats will need to win both GA seats to take the Senate majority. 

A Republican-controlled Senate would likely doom many of Biden’s tax reforms and much of the progressive agenda. But until the majority is decided, the importance of the Senate in 2021 will be held in abeyance. 

  • House (218 D – 202 R)

Democrats entered this election hoping to expand their majority in the House, targeting 38 “red-to-blue” districts. But Democrats only flipped three districts in Georgia and North Carolina so far. With 15 seats yet to be decided, Democrats have held onto the House majority, but Republicans cut into the Democrats’ historic 2018 gains, already flipping eight seats.

The overly optimistic strategy has led to some changes in leadership. The DCCC Chairwoman Rep. Cheri Bustos recently announced her resignation from the position. With fewer moderate members in the majority, the balance of power has shifted slightly in favor of more progressive members. 

The 117th Congress is set to begin January third, and the House will move quickly to advance bills already passed during the 116th Congress. Speaker Pelosi announced her intention to reintroduce the For the People Act (H.R.1) as the first bill of the session. 

For progressives, the Congressional Progressive Caucus Center will host a conference starting tomorrow to discuss priorities for the upcoming Congress. 

Policy Implications

While much hinges on the January Senate runoffs in Georgia, Democrats shouldn’t discount their ability to pass substantial legislation and institute progressive policies. Biden and McConnell, should Republicans retain the majority, may reach agreements on various areas of COVID relief, such as additional funding for testing and vaccine production, aid to states and local governments, more forgivable loans through the Paycheck Protection Program, and expanded unemployment insurance. Outside of relief negotiations, Biden could pursue bipartisan bills to bolster retirement security, disincentivize corporate offshoring, promote American manufacturing, expand rural broadband access, and perhaps even raise the minimum wage. 

Unilaterally, President Biden can begin to undo the damage wrought by President Trump and his notoriously corrupt cabinet. Majority Leader McConnell has stated that if he remains Majority Leader, he will cooperate with Biden’s cabinet nominations so long as they are moderates and are not controversial among conservatives. But Biden does not have to obey McConnell’s demands. He can appoint acting secretaries who can work with Biden during his first hundred days in office to reestablish non-discrimination protections, labor protections, and create strong workplace safety guidance for businesses operating during the pandemic. 

Biden can also do much through executive actions. On economic policy, Biden can single-handedly eliminate student debt for the millions of low-income Americans who hold it, crack down on monopolies and businesses that violate labor laws, and require stronger workplace and safety standards for government contractors. He could also expand access to capital for women and minority business owners, eliminate work requirements for food assistance, among many other priorities outlined in the Biden-Sanders unity task force recommendations and the DNC platform. 

Ultimately, personnel will define policy. Much of Biden’s ability to achieve progressive goals will depend on the choices he makes to fill his cabinet. Progressives must take the opportunity to push for bold, progressive champions for the Departments of Labor and the Treasury and the Federal Reserve board. Political appointees — not lawmakers — may need to lead the way on tighter financial regulation, equitable capital access, and worker protections. 

63 thoughts on “Biden Policy Possibilities”

  1. No matter if some one searches for his essential thing, thus he/she wants to be available that in detail, so that thing is maintained over here. Ellie Brion Muir

  2. We specialize in assisting residences and companies of all sizes with a wide variety of environmentally friendly insect elimination solutions. Rivkah Orazio Frodina

  3. Hi Carole: As Marian said since you are working at home it is best to use an electrical sharpener. My favorite sharpeners are Panasonic. You can get them used at Ebay. I hope this helps. Ashley Wilbur Geddes

  4. I blog frequently and I truly thank you for your information. This article has truly peaked my interest. I will bookmark your site and keep checking for new information about once a week. I subscribed to your RSS feed as well. Lorraine Vinnie Whitehouse

  5. Hey there. I found your web site via Google whilst searching for a comparable topic, your website came up. It seems to be good. I have bookmarked it in my google bookmarks to visit then. Leilah Corbin Janie

  6. To link your Facebook and Twitter accounts, open the Instagram app on your phone or tablet, and select the Profile tab in the bottom-right corner of the screen. Rania Kale Rudman

  7. After I initially commented I seem to have clicked the -Notify me when new comments are added- checkbox and from now on each time a comment is added I receive 4 emails with the same comment. Is there a means you are able to remove me from that service? Thanks a lot! Klarrisa Dennie Col

  8. That is really fascinating, You’re an overly professional blogger.
    I have joined your feed and look forward to seeking extra of your wonderful post.
    Also, I’ve shared your web site in my social networks

  9. Hey there. I discovered your blog by the use of Google even as searching for a related topic, your web site came up. It appears to be good. I have bookmarked it in my google bookmarks to come back then. Dulcie Warren Raina

  10. After I originally left a comment I appear to have clicked on the -Notify me when new comments are added- checkbox and from now on each time a comment is added I receive four emails with the same comment. Is there a means you can remove me from that service? Cheers! Gerda Stanly Tarah

  11. I was excited to find this great site. I need to to thank you for ones time just for this fantastic read!! I definitely savored every bit of it and i also have you bookmarked to see new information on your blog. Albertine Maurizio Desdamonna

  12. For latest information you have to pay a quick visit world-wide-web and on the web I found this web page as a best site for newest updates. Wenona Dino Ricca

  13. You made some really good points there. I checked on the web for more info about the issue and found most people will go along with your views on this web site. Renell Elbert Chor

  14. You actually make it seem really easy together with your presentation however I in finding this matter to be really one thing that I feel I would never understand. It sort of feels too complex and extremely vast for me. I am taking a look forward in your next submit, I will try to get the grasp of it! Angie Dav Gal

  15. Hiya, I am really glad I have found this information. Today bloggers publish only about gossip and net stuff and this is actually irritating. A good web site with exciting content, this is what I need. Thank you for making this site, and I will be visiting again. Do you do newsletters by email? Cathee Peyton Husain

  16. I just could not go away your website prior to suggesting that I actually loved the standard information a person supply for your visitors? Is gonna be back often in order to check up on new posts. Madonna Tristam Mulligan

  17. Thanks for your ideas. One thing I have noticed is that banks and financial institutions know the spending habits of consumers and understand that most people max out their credit cards around the holidays. They wisely take advantage of this fact and start flooding your inbox and snail-mail box with hundreds of 0 APR credit card offers soon after the holiday season ends. Knowing that if you are like 98% of the American public, you’ll jump at the chance to consolidate credit card debt and transfer balances to 0 APR credit cards. aaaaaaa https://headachemedi.com – Headache pain meds

  18. This site is really a walk-through for all of the info you wished about this and didn?t know who to inquire about. Glimpse here, and also you?ll definitely discover it. Bab Nilson Owades

  19. Keep up the wonderful piece of work, I read few content on this site and I conceive that your web blog is real interesting and has bands of great information. Caroline Zacharias Garibull

  20. Hey very nice site!! Guy .. Excellent .. Superb .. I will bookmark your web site and take the feeds alsoKI am satisfied to find numerous helpful information right here in the submit, we want work out more strategies on this regard, thank you for sharing. . . . . . Olympe Vinson Candida

  21. Thanks for your concepts. One thing we’ve noticed is banks along with financial institutions are aware of the spending practices of consumers while also understand that most of the people max out there their real credit cards around the getaways. They properly take advantage of this specific fact and commence flooding your current inbox along with snail-mail box using hundreds of no-interest APR card offers just after the holiday season comes to an end. Knowing that should you be like 98% of American community, you’ll rush at the possiblity to consolidate card debt and shift balances for 0 apr interest rates credit cards. ihhhgjl https://headachemedi.com – over counter medicine for Headache pain

  22. Thanks for your strategies. One thing really noticed is that often banks plus financial institutions know the dimensions and spending patterns of consumers plus understand that plenty of people max outside their cards around the trips. They correctly take advantage of this real fact and then start flooding a person’s inbox plus snail-mail box by using hundreds of no interest APR credit cards offers shortly when the holiday season closes. Knowing that when you are like 98% in the American general public, you’ll get at the one opportunity to consolidate financial debt and switch balances towards 0 rate credit cards. onnmmop https://thyroidmedi.com – best thyroid medication

  23. Thanks for your suggestions. One thing I’ve noticed is the fact that banks as well as financial institutions really know the spending routines of consumers as well as understand that many people max away their credit cards around the vacations. They sensibly take advantage of this particular fact and start flooding your own inbox as well as snail-mail box along with hundreds of 0 APR credit card offers right after the holiday season finishes. Knowing that if you’re like 98% of the American public, you’ll leap at the opportunity to consolidate credit debt and transfer balances to 0 annual percentage rates credit cards. dddddfj https://stomachmedi.com – stomach threatment

  24. Thanks for your tips. One thing we have noticed is always that banks and also financial institutions have in mind the spending behavior of consumers and also understand that a lot of people max away their own credit cards around the holiday seasons. They prudently take advantage of this kind of fact and begin flooding the inbox and also snail-mail box together with hundreds of Zero APR card offers immediately after the holiday season finishes. Knowing that in case you are like 98% of all American open public, you’ll hop at the opportunity to consolidate personal credit card debt and move balances for 0 interest rates credit cards. ffffehk https://pancreasmedi.com – stomach medications for sale

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *